But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. Required fields are marked *. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Adam Wainwright set to join legendary list for St. Louis Cardinals 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. For a five-year span from 2007-2011, CC Sabathia was regarded as one of the elite pitchers in the game, and he took three different teams to the postseason, winning a ring with the 2009 Yankees. Will this happen? He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Drew move to Atlanta. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Press Box: Wainwright to decide if he can continue to beat foes as well What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. More From This Game. (approx 1 - 2 per week). He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. St. Louis Cardinals: Will Adam Wainwright get a retirement tour? Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Adam Wainwright Archives - Cooperstown Cred His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career strikeouts It goes something like this . But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Adam Wainwright - Taddlr Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. Well have to wait and see. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. The 40-year . He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Your existing password has not been changed. Sabermetrics lover. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Scott Rolen signs his name into history, calls Cardinals a 'catapult Your login session has expired. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. All WAR (and WPA) figures here refer to the Baseball Reference version, unless otherwise indicated. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Everyone Thinks Justin Verlander Belongs In The Hall Of Fame. So Why Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. Once Molina has been. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Were not concerned. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. It happens a lot. . Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The best pitcher in MLB? Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Hall of Stats: Adam Wainwright Sure there are. ago. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). Hall of Very Good. Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright are back together, and they will start Opening Day together for the first time since 2009 on Thursday. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Your email address will not be published. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. . . He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. Pirates, Cardinals 2022 Opening Day FAQ - MLB.com (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Not an injury issue? Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. Who Are the Next Pitchers to Make the Baseball Hall of Fame? No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . The Cardinals are calm. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Opinion | Is Wainright a hall of famer? | ksdk.com Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. During the 2022 regular season, 'Waino' finished with a record of 11-12 and 3.71 ERA in 191.2 innings, while also racking up 143 strikeouts. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. 5th stage: 60-day IL. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. This doesnt mean that Wainwright definitely deserves to make itTim Hudson, who barely qualified for a second turn on the BBWAA ballot and didnt receive the 5% of votes needed to qualify for a third, ranks ahead of him, for instance. We use cookies to improve your experience. By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. Theyll defer. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. . In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Ten Position Players Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Is Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame or Hall of Very good? 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. . Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. Decade-plus Eagles writer. 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