Varner was a first-round leader twice in 2020, joining Collin Morikawa, Russell Knox and Sebastian Munoz as the only golfers to accomplish that feat more than once last year. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? Golf Betting and Fantasy Picks: 10 players who will make you money in Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. Both stats combine to form the cumulative strokes gained/ball-striking, putting Conners third on tour. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National, contribute their picks every week to our Golf Digest weekly experts picks column. Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. Its quite strange, too, considering hed gained in seven of eight starts previous to the awful run. We've entered golf's '+1' era, Pat McAfee dished some juicy details about his recent golf trip with the Mannings to (maybe???) From Pat Mayo, Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National analyst: Based on the amount of times he contended in 2020, its rather shocking Scheffler didnt break through and win. While never great with the flat stick, that was his worse run since 2009. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. And could Woods (120-1) be worth a flier? GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. He's gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his. Poston actually struck the ball better than Svensson at Riviera, and he now returns to a course that should suit his game. section: | slug: 2023-genesis-invitational-fantasy-golf-rankings-picks-sleepers-back-jon-rahm-avoid-xander-schauffele | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. McClure's model included J.T. 2022 Tour Championship Fantasy golf rankings, expert picks, lineup Hes been in the green on approach in five of the last six, and that pesky putter has shown brief glimpses of brilliance at the Sony Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Figuring out which PGA Tour golfer is the best in the world right now isn't easy. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational - pgatour.com Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. Matsuyama is the defending champion of this event and he's won eight times on the PGA Tour. And the irons were just as good, finishing eight among all tour players. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Hell likely do well at Bay Hill, at the Players and at Harbour Town, but all of those will have stacked fields as elevated events and Im not so sure Kirk can beat a field like that. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. . Sure, he didnt play great on the west coast, which actually improves his value here. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Sungjae Im at $10,300 on DraftKings and $11,800 on FanDuel. Poston. On top of that, he lives in West Palm Beach, so this is a home game for him. This golfer "finally showed some spark" last week in Scottsdale and appears to be trending upward. When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. American Express: Brian Harman. Hello, Aaron Rai. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. I expect Poston to bounce back from a disappointing performance at Riviera and roll easily over Svensson. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. In my opinion, Wise is a top-five player in this field, behind only Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry and Billy Horschel, and we are catching him at a more than fair price due to his slow start to the season. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+330, DraftKings) The former Georgia Bulldog drives it so dang straight, which is an absolute weapon at PGA National. Matt Kuchar: Kinda hard to ignore Kuchar at the moment, who has been in the top 10 in two of his last four starts. The PGA TOUR Experts league is once again open to the public. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. Gdula: Cameron Davis (-110) over Sepp Straka (FOXBet) Davis holds a massive tee-to-green advantage over Straka, who goes as his putter goes. Five of the top seven golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking are scheduled to compete, led by world No. Since 2020, for players with at least seven measured rounds on Poa, Jonas Blixt, Justin Suh, Zac Blair, Kevin Kisner, Brice Garnett, Matt Kuchar, and Maverick McNealy are all averaging +0.9 SG:PUTT per round on Poa greens. 2023 The American Express expert picks, betting rankings and fantasy For the The American Express 2023, Holliman is backing a massive sleeper for Fantasy rosters who is priced at $7,000 at DraftKings and has triple-digit odds to win at Caesars. Scottie Scheffler is officially No. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. This allows him to find the best PGA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Especially at this course, one he hasnt turned up at since 2011, likely for the same reasons as all the other big-time players - its impossibly hard, theres water everywhere and it makes the worlds best look like us. Before setting your Fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 American Express picks, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Min Woo Lee: MWL is making the rare US start, so it will be interesting to see if his great DP World Tour form carries over this week. He makes cuts, in spades. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game. The Loop on Apple Podcasts Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR In his past six starts, hes gained over six strokes on approach and lost over six in separator starts. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Gehman: Sungjae Im This is seemingly a no-brainer. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Ballengee lives in the Washington, D.C. area with his family. 2022 Players Championship one and done picks, fantasy golf predictions Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. While his irons let him down at the South Course during the Farmers, his putter certainly did not, and Pebble is a totally different layout for approaches. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. 2022: The winner checked in at $8,500 and scored 25.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2021: The winner checked in at $10,100 and scored 21 more DK points than anyone else, 2020: The winner checked in at $7,000 and scored 23.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2019: The winner checked in at $9,600 and scored 19.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2018: The winner checked in at $7,100 and scored 20 more DK points than anyone else. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. So what are the top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open? Ryan occasionally links to merchants of his choosing, and GNN may earn a commission from sales generated by those links. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. Holliman has one stunning prediction for this week: Fantasy players should fade Rahm and look for better value. Genesis: Justin Thomas. fantasy picks | GolfDigest.com Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. He has played nine non-major PGA Tour/KFT events in the last year and has made the cut in one of those. In-Tournament PGA Model - Round 2 Picks for The Honda Classic (Premium Content) Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content . Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Adam Svensson (33-1, BetMGM) This week feels like it could be anyone's game in terms of holding the trophy on Sunday. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Hes among a handful of players on tour who could say that. PGA TOUR Fantasy. You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine. Please play responsibly. "There are better ways to spend your valuable cap money," the expert says. Here are our. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Seriously. After a pair of marquee, or should we say, elevated weeks on the PGA Tour, things have gotten decidedly bleak as we kick off the Florida Swing. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. 15 DFS Golf Picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii - FantasyData Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Wells Fargo - DraftKings Nation Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR . Gambling Problem? Here are our 2023 The Honda Classic rankings and expert picks, as we do each week of the PGA Tour season. Scottish Open Picks and Predictions: Look for Jon Rahm, Luke List To 2022 RSM Classic odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from golf model Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. 6. Expert Picks: The RSM Classic Lack: JT Poston (-110) over Adam Svensson (DraftKings) Svensson is coming off a ninth-place finish at the Genesis and JT Poston is coming off a MC on the number, but results can be deceiving. Our job is to pick the guys who wont be made to look like fools at PGA National's Champion course this week. 15 DFS Golf Picks for the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic Gehman: Kevin Tway (+1000, DraftKings) Tways game is rounding into form right now. He finished T-3 at this event two years ago and now hes ready to seal the deal. Shot Link data is only available for Pebble Beach GL. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. The latest 2023 American Express odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Rahm as the 13-2 favorite, and he is the highest-priced golfer at DraftKings at $10,800. For years, we have offered weekly PGA Tour one-and-done golf picks, taking. At last week's Phoenix Open, four of the expert's top eight picks finished in the top 10, a group that included winner Scheffler. A lack of red flags in any area has helped get him six top-20 finishes since August. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Before setting your fantasy golf rankings or making any 2023 Genesis Invitational picks, you need to see the fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine fantasy expert Jim Holliman. He just cant find ways to make putts. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. He is a scratch golfersometimes. Munoz is also 14th on tour over the past 100 rounds in Opportunities Gained, a FantasyNational stat that indicates birdie chances. Before you lock in your PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open, you'll want to see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure. From Mayo: Three top-10s (including at the Masters) over his final four starts in 2020 showcases what eventually could be for the Canadian if he could make a few more seven-foot putts in 2021. Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. For 2020, he ranked eighth in strokes gained/off the tee, one spot behind Bubba Watson and one spot ahead of Xander Schauffele. Hes made each of his past six cuts at the Honda Classic and gained putting three of the past four years. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers from the 2023 Genesis Invitational field. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. There are key metrics that serve as early indicators for when tour pros appear on the verge of a breakout season. It . Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. He just split ways with his caddie that he has pretty much had since getting his PGA Tour card, and any caddie knows that a player will usually ball out the first week with a new caddie. We missed out on him last year while he was figuring out his game on the Korn Ferry Tour, but now hes back and hes having himself a nice little year, starting with a top-five finish back in the Fall at the Fortinet and adding a pair of top-17 finishes in 11 starts since. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National Overall, the last six winners have all been either 30/1 or below (Spieth, Mickelson and Berger) or 100/1 or longer. Mayo has been recognized across multiple sports (Football, Baseball & Golf), mediums (Video, Writing & Podcasting), genre (Humor), and game formats (Sports Betting, Daily Fantasy, and Traditional Season Long Fantasy). WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Last year, Hoge became the outlier opening 65/1 in the betting market. But as a caddie, I can see Davis playing well for one reason. Poston at . Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Golfers I'm Definitely Playing Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel) Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Gdula: Jhonattan Vegas (+320, FanDuel) Overall, Vegas has played well at PGA National, and were seeing phenomenal ball-striking from him lately. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. Perhaps hes close to putting it altogether at Honda, where hes finished 17th and 12th in his last two appearances. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (PA/OH) or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-fantasy-golf-picks-lineups-advice-rankings-top-golf-expert-says-fade-jon-rahm | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf rankings, picks, sleepers: Back Im is the best player in the field and its not particularly close. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Sepp Straka: The Diet Coke King is kind of hard to predict, and he wasn't great in his two DP World Tour stops, but he was solid last week at Riviera. 1. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. 4. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Lack: Adam Long (+1100, DraftKings) Ill take a chance this week and fire away on a long shot to pay off nicely for me in the top-10 market. In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to be accurate off the tee and few do it better than Im. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on .